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Foodservice inflation falls again but prices will stay firm, experts warn

Home » News » Foodservice inflation falls again but prices will stay firm, experts warn
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Restaurants and takeaways are being warned they will feel the heat on prices for some time to come, despite foodservice price inflation falling again during the month of November to 15.0% – its lowest level since July 2022.

According to CGA Prestige Foodservice Price Index (FPI), the fall is much slower than the equivalent rise to the 22.9% peak that happened in December last year. On the way up it took just four months to rise from 15% to the peak, on the way down over twice the time period at 11 months. 

James Ashurst, client director at CGA by NIQ, said: “After such rapid rises in inflation in recent times, it’s frustrating to see a much slower journey back towards more normal levels. High rises in the cost of vegetables are particularly concerning as we move towards 2024. The general UK rate of inflation may be coming down, but businesses across the food supply chain will be feeling the heat on prices for some time to come.”

In November, FPI saw just two categories (oils and fats at 1.4%, and dairy at 8.8%) performing below 10% year-on-year. This was in stark contrast to vegetables where inflation remained extremely high at 27.3%.

Shaun Allen, CEO of Prestige Purchasing added: “There’s little doubt that wholesalers have been battling rising costs, just like hospitality operators and the remainder of the supply chain. But with the market coming off peak-levels of inflation operators need to be especially vigilant as suppliers seek to enhance margins to rebuild their balance sheets.”

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